Package: PointFore 0.2.0.9000

PointFore: Interpretation of Point Forecasts as State-Dependent Quantiles and Expectiles

Estimate specification models for the state-dependent level of an optimal quantile/expectile forecast. Wald Tests and the test of overidentifying restrictions are implemented. Plotting of the estimated specification model is possible. The package contains two data sets with forecasts and realizations: the daily accumulated precipitation at London, UK from the high-resolution model of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, <https://www.ecmwf.int/>) and GDP growth Greenbook data by the US Federal Reserve. See Schmidt, Katzfuss and Gneiting (2015) <arxiv:1506.01917> for more details on the identification and estimation of a directive behind a point forecast.

Authors:Patrick Schmidt [aut, cre]

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PointFore.pdf |PointFore.html
PointFore/json (API)
NEWS

# Install 'PointFore' in R:
install.packages('PointFore', repos = c('https://schmidtpk.r-universe.dev', 'https://cloud.r-project.org'))

Peer review:

Bug tracker:https://github.com/schmidtpk/pointfore/issues

Datasets:
  • GDP - Real GDP realized values and one quarter ahead Greenbook forecasts
  • precipitation - Daily accumulated precipitation

On CRAN:

4.48 score 20 scripts 97 downloads 10 exports 65 dependencies

Last updated 4 years agofrom:c10c5cba01. Checks:OK: 1 ERROR: 6. Indexed: yes.

TargetResultDate
Doc / VignettesOKOct 26 2024
R-4.5-winERROROct 26 2024
R-4.5-linuxERROROct 26 2024
R-4.4-winERROROct 26 2024
R-4.4-macERROROct 26 2024
R-4.3-winERROROct 26 2024
R-4.3-macERROROct 26 2024

Exports:constantestimate.functionalexpectileslaglogistic_linearprobit_breakprobit_linearprobit_spline2probit_spline3quantiles

Dependencies:abindbackportsbootbroomcarcarDataclicolorspacecowplotcpp11DerivdoBydplyrfansifarverFormulagenericsggplot2gluegmmgtableisobandlabelinglatticelifecyclelme4lubridatemagrittrMASSMatrixMatrixModelsmgcvmicrobenchmarkminqamodelrmunsellnlmenloptrnnetnumDerivpbkrtestpillarpkgconfigpurrrquantregR6RColorBrewerRcppRcppEigenrlangsandwichscalesSparseMstringistringrsurvivaltibbletidyrtidyselecttimechangeutf8vctrsviridisLitewithrzoo

GDP Greenbook forecasts

Rendered fromGDP.Rmdusingknitr::rmarkdownon Oct 26 2024.

Last update: 2020-12-07
Started: 2019-01-23

Precipitation forecasts

Rendered fromPrecipitation.Rmdusingknitr::rmarkdownon Oct 26 2024.

Last update: 2020-12-07
Started: 2018-12-28

Tutorial for PointFore

Rendered fromTutorial.Rmdusingknitr::rmarkdownon Oct 26 2024.

Last update: 2019-02-12
Started: 2018-06-21