PointFore - Interpretation of Point Forecasts as State-Dependent Quantiles
and Expectiles
Estimate specification models for the state-dependent
level of an optimal quantile/expectile forecast. Wald Tests and
the test of overidentifying restrictions are implemented.
Plotting of the estimated specification model is possible. The
package contains two data sets with forecasts and realizations:
the daily accumulated precipitation at London, UK from the
high-resolution model of the European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, <https://www.ecmwf.int/>) and GDP
growth Greenbook data by the US Federal Reserve. See Schmidt,
Katzfuss and Gneiting (2015) <arXiv:1506.01917> for more
details on the identification and estimation of a directive
behind a point forecast.